Messageboard
 subject: "Playoff Breakdowns"
Playoff Predictor

May 06, 2011
12:07 PM

;
After Reviewing next weeks games. I made some predictions on whos going to win and get in. Record and then predicted Pt differential is how i ranked teams.

Here`s how the A playoffs will go down.

1. Wolves
2. Truth
3. Scavengers
4. Lazy Sundae

5. Penetrators (beat rhinos)
6. Outcast (beat outlaws)
7. Pain (beat united)
8. Ligers (beat greenbacks and infamous)
9. Imposters (beat rain city)
10. Collision (loses to truth)
11. Alter Ego (beat rebels)
12. Punishers (beat pythons)

Here`s my Brackers
1. Wolves
vs
8. Ligers vs 9. Imposters

Winner Plays

4. Lazy Sundae
vs
5. Penetrators vs 12. Punishers



2. Truth
vs
7. Pain vs 10. Collision

Winner Plays

3. Scavengers
vs
6. Outcast vs 11. Alter Ego

How does it unfold?


hey mathematician

May 06, 2011
1:59 PM
; 
do B and C too.

haha

May 06, 2011
3:30 PM
; 
if Pain has to play Collision. 1st round exit again for HollyPain, lol

A Player

May 06, 2011
4:10 PM
; 
without their qb, imposters will lose to ligers. Wolves will have no problems with the ligers.

Pens will beat punishers and them and lazy play each other well. either team could win this. i`ll take pens.

pain vs collision would be the best 1st round match up, but if collision is having trouble showing up, i`m taking pain.

truth and pain would be a good game too. toss up

outcast should beat alter ego, but AE could definetly make a run. Scavs will walk past both of them.

Scavs have the easy road to the title game. And Wolves and Pens will be another close game.

But.....

May 06, 2011
4:15 PM
; 
This weekend games could change some of the match-ups.

Big Johnson

May 06, 2011
5:45 PM
; 
That`s true. For example even if Imposters beat Raincity they might not even make the A playoffs. B/c if Outlaws beat Outcast that would mean there would be a 3 way tie for 2nd and 3rd place. Then I beleive it would come down to PD to decide who gets in. 6 pts is a lot to make up in one game, especially if you just lost your QB.

Then there are the rest of the 3-2 teams. Depending on how the PD`s endup the 1st round match ups could change some.

Truth/Collision

May 07, 2011
0:00 AM
; 
How does this change when Collision beats Truth and puts an end to the 0 points scored assist this weekend? How will the 3 way tie break work out between Truth, Collision and Liger?

3 way

May 07, 2011
0:29 AM
; 
When 3 teams are tied, it goes to head to head record between the teams. In a case where one team has played the other two teams (Collision) and the other two teams have not played each other (Truth and Ligers) and the first team has split (Collision lost to Ligers, beats Truth this Sunday), the team they lost to gets first, they get second and the team they beat gets third.

In this situation Ligers would win the division, Collision would be second and Truth third.

Ligers

May 07, 2011
10:19 AM
; 
So you`re tellin` me there`s a chance...

Playoff Predicter

May 07, 2011
11:55 AM
; 
Thats why my opening statement said I made some predictions on whos going to win and get it.

I don`t see collision winning. scoring yes. but truth looks pretty good right now.

outlaws shouldn`t beat outcast, but they could. Theres definetly a couple other teams that have an approtunity to make the playoffs. i just dont think they will.

^^^

May 07, 2011
12:05 PM
; 
I just checked their page and Collision lost to the Truth the last 2 times they`ve played and shut them out. Outcast is going to let the Outlaws sneak by them.

^^^

May 07, 2011
3:29 PM
; 
outhouse has 0 chance of winning

Player

May 07, 2011
4:07 PM
; 
Ok, so let`s say Outlaws beat Outcast and Imposters beat Raincity. All three teams would`ve played each other. What desides who makes A playoffs? PD?

Yep

May 07, 2011
7:16 PM
; 
Since all three teams split their games, it would come down to PD in the games between those teams.

Lets get the brackets

May 08, 2011
10:57 AM
; 
Up ! Where ya at bundy?

Playoffs

May 08, 2011
3:39 PM
; 
1 Wolves
2 Truth
3 Lazy
4 Scavs
5 Penetrators
6 Outcast
7 Pain
8 Ligers
9 Collision
10 Punishers
11 Imposters
12 Alter Ego


This will hold if pain beat united and ligers beat greenbacks

Here`s the brackets
1. Wolves
vs
8. Ligers vs 9. Collision

Winner Plays

4. Scavengers
vs
5. Penetrators vs 12. Alter Ego



2. Truth
vs
7. Pain vs 10. Imposters

Winner Plays

3. Lazy Sundae
vs
6. Outcast vs 11. Imposters


Imposters

May 08, 2011
3:52 PM
; 
Playing to games?

^^

May 08, 2011
4:00 PM
; 
if this holds true and everyone beats who they`re "supposed" to beat in the first round, there will be some good games in the second round.

Re: Imposters

May 08, 2011
4:06 PM
; 
Good Catch, copy paste and all, 10. Imposters should be 10. Punishers playing Outcast...

If this holds up

May 08, 2011
4:17 PM
; 
then we will have two cross division games and two interdivision matchups in the first round. Should be interesting to see how teams play each other the second time around.

to ^^^

May 08, 2011
5:58 PM
; 
Wow. Hatin Outcast, but they won. Guess they don`t suck that bad. JS

.

May 08, 2011
7:20 PM
; 
Scava are 3 and Lazy is 4. So the matchups are wrong...

lazy

May 08, 2011
7:30 PM
; 
Is 3 not 4!

Pt diff

May 08, 2011
7:32 PM
; 
Scavs 4, Lazy 3

Matchups Are Set

May 08, 2011
8:12 PM
; 
If you look at the overall standings the only game not recorded is the Ligers/Greenbacks. If Ligers lost they drop one spot, Collision moves up one spot, but it doesn`t change the matchups. Assuming Ligers didn`t win by enough to move their PD to better than Pain`s the matchups are set for next week...

Real Deal

May 08, 2011
8:15 PM
; 
That means the following:

1 Wolves
2 Truth
3 Lazy
4 Scavs
5 Penetrators
6 Outcast
7 Pain
8 Ligers
9 Collision
10 Punishers
11 TNT
12 Imposters


Here`s the brackets
1. Wolves
vs
8. Ligers vs 9. Collision

Winner Plays

4. Scavengers
vs
5. Penetrators vs 12. Imposters



2. Truth
vs
7. Pain vs 10. Punishers

Winner Plays

3. Lazy Sundae
vs
6. Outcast vs 11. TNT

This Looks Right, NO?

WHO YA GOT!!!

Good Matchups

May 08, 2011
8:17 PM
; 
Wolves have a walk to the final 4. Scavs vs. Pens in round 2 will be a GREAT game. Truth vs. Pain would be entertaining, 2 very good defenses. Once again Lazy lucks out getting probably an Outcast team they are VERY familiar with. I see Wolves vs. Scavs and Truth vs. Outcast in the final 4. Truth vs. Wolves in the final and the Wolves taking the title.

Hmmm?!?!?

May 08, 2011
8:56 PM
; 
looks like the 8 / 9 game is pain vs collision.

Ligers move up to #7.

Big Johnson

May 08, 2011
9:07 PM
; 
TNT did not finish in top 3 in their division. They are not in the A playoffs; Alter Ego is. Imposters is 11th and AE is 12th.

Correct

May 08, 2011
9:54 PM
; 
You are right Big Johnson. I was going off the overall standings, not realizing TNT was 4th in their division. This is where the unbalanced schedule of the West division is screwing things up! That also means that only 1 team from the South can get to the final 4 since Imposters will play Outcast in round 1 with the winner playing Lazy Sundae. Kinda like a mini Division tournament for a shot at the final 4...

One last time...

May 08, 2011
10:07 PM
; 
That means the following:

1 Wolves
2 Truth
3 Lazy
4 Scavs
5 Penetrators
6 Outcast
7 Ligers
8 Pain
9 Collision
10 Punishers
11 Imposters
12 Alter Ego


Here`s the brackets
1. Wolves
vs
8. Pain vs 9. Collision

Winner Plays

4. Scavengers
vs
5. Penetrators vs 12. Alter Ego



2. Truth
vs
7. Pain vs 10. Punishers

Winner Plays

3. Lazy Sundae
vs
6. Outcast vs 11. Imposters

This Looks Right, NO?

^^take two

May 08, 2011
10:14 PM
; 
you have pain in two different brackets

*@&#^ one more time

May 08, 2011
10:16 PM
; 
That means the following:

1 Wolves
2 Truth
3 Lazy
4 Scavs
5 Penetrators
6 Outcast
7 Ligers
8 Pain
9 Collision
10 Punishers
11 Imposters
12 Alter Ego


Here`s the brackets
1. Wolves
vs
8. Pain vs 9. Collision

Winner Plays

4. Scavengers
vs
5. Penetrators vs 12. Alter Ego



2. Truth
vs
7. Ligers vs 10. Punishers

Winner Plays

3. Lazy Sundae
vs
6. Outcast vs 11. Imposters

This Looks Right, NO?

I think

May 09, 2011
0:06 AM
; 
Scavs are 3 and Lazy is 4...

^^wrong^^

May 09, 2011
0:25 AM
; 
*taken straight from the standings page*

1 Wolves 6 0 0 192 36 26.0 1.000
2 The Truth 6 0 0 131 0 21.8 1.000
3 Lazy Sundae 6 0 0 119 34 14.1 1.000
4 SCAVENGERS 6 0 0 121 40 13.5 1.000


Big Johnson

May 09, 2011
6:45 AM
; 
Holy crap!! Some of you would f up a wet dream. How hard is it to figure out the top 12 teams and their seeds? I know everyone is excited but, realy!?

.

May 09, 2011
10:08 AM
; 
. so doz that mean the poll is wrong?

to .

May 09, 2011
10:24 AM
; 
Yes the poll is wrong

.

May 09, 2011
10:33 AM
; 
From what I see, Lazy has a 13.5 PDF. Scavs 14.1 PDF. You might have the two flip-flopped

.

May 09, 2011
10:36 AM
; 
Sorry Scavs, 13.5 PDF
Lazy 14.1 PDF

Kevin Hart

May 09, 2011
10:59 AM
; 
Really... Really... Boy You know boy you are really something..

IDEA!!!

May 09, 2011
11:11 AM
; 
why dont you just wait the day or two from the commish to figure it out.. that will still give you guys plenty of time to talk about it.. In fact, someone should delete this entire thread and start a new one when the official brackets come out

Idea

May 09, 2011
11:35 AM
; 
Actually, thats a pretty good idea

Playoff Predictor

May 09, 2011
12:10 PM
; 
So other then point differential being off. My top 12 were correct. I didn`t think Scavs would win such a close game. That was my only mistake in the top four. Way to suck! And I thought Pain would show up with a full squad to get a better pt differential then ligers. My bottom four werent in the correct order at all.

Other then that, looks like the original post was pretty close!

Maybe the commish can make a switch of two and get all the first round games to be cross division games. I dont think anybody wants to play a team they have already played. But there is only two interdivision playoff games.

pens vs alter ego and outcast vs imposters.


True

May 09, 2011
12:35 PM
; 
it is weird to see teams from the same division facing off and in a few cases it will happen in the first and second round.

.

May 09, 2011
1:23 PM
; 
Playoff Predictor, that was a good job across the board. It was a good write-up. But now the Truth will have to play Scavs rather then Lazy, so we will get to see if they really are the "truth" or not. Thats all. Good job bro.

Incorrect

May 09, 2011
1:30 PM
; 
Lazy is the 3 seed, and the 2 and 3 seed are in the same bracket.

My predictions

May 09, 2011
1:37 PM
; 
Round 1 Games

Pens vs Alter Ego - Pens should win this again.
Outcast vs Imposters - Outcast should win this again.
Ligers vs Punishers - Didn`t see punishers all season, probably gonna be a close game. I`m gonna take the Punishers here.
Pain vs Collision - Should be the best game of the first round. I think Pain comes out on top as Collision has not looked like themselves this season.

Round 2 match ups (if my predictions hold true)

Wolves vs Pain - Should be a good game, but the wolves will be too much for Pain.

Truth vs Punishers - This could be another shut out for the Truth.

Lazy Sundae vs Outcast - Lazy beat them once, but Outcast is a decent team and could give them a run for their money. But I`ll take Lazy since Outcast fell to them.

Scavengers vs Penatrators - I`m putting this down as the best game of round 2. The Penatrators gave the Wolves all they could handle and then fell apart. They`ll need to play a complete game if they want to beat Jeremy, Nunn and Co. Until they do that, gotta take the Scavs.

real brackets are up

May 09, 2011
3:52 PM
; 
^

^ ^

May 09, 2011
4:25 PM
; 
And all my match ups were correct... How does everyone else see everything going down?

crystal ball

May 09, 2011
4:27 PM
; 
i see pain`s season being over at 10am 5/15/11

Place Your Bets

May 09, 2011
4:50 PM
; 
Scavs Vs. The Truth in the Final. I got the Truth finally shutting all you bums up when all is said and done.

genius

May 09, 2011
6:05 PM
; 
i see imposters upsetting outcast and lazy to get to the final four. they have seen both of them already and now have the knowledge to beat them. i see truth and wolves with an easy walk to the final four. scavs/pens winner will be in the final game against the truth, with the truth taking the title.

People

May 09, 2011
10:37 PM
; 
are on here hyping the truth, so they can bash them soon as they lose lol funny guys you. Truth keep ballin

Win

May 10, 2011
7:31 AM
; 
or Lose, Truth has done their thing this year, alot of these clowns have never made or will ever make a playoff game. Keep playing Truth

Hey

May 10, 2011
7:43 AM
; 
Genius how much you wanna put on the imposters?

Facts

May 10, 2011
7:46 AM
; 
1) The Truth`s opponents this year are a combined 13-23, barely above .500
2) The Truth`s opponents this year have a combined APD of -5.97
3) Two of The Truth`s wins came against brand new C level teams and a third against a team that in 8 seasons has NEVER won more than 1 regular season game.

I think The Truth will be in for a harsh realization come playoff time.

To Facts

May 10, 2011
8:12 AM
; 
I agree with you all the way.

facts

May 10, 2011
9:37 AM
; 
Is correct!

to Facts

May 10, 2011
9:39 AM
; 
13-23 barely above .500?? That seams more like 10 games below.

Facts

May 10, 2011
9:44 AM
; 
You`re so right. Anything before 8 AM is rough for me. It`s not even close, it`s .361 I used the wrong number of games! (total losses instead of total games)

Yep...

May 10, 2011
9:45 AM
; 
Makes that record look even more suspect. I will agree with most, that they had a great year....but they have honestly not played any elite team this year. Collision is the closest, and they are more a name at this point, and shell of the former team because of injuries. Either way, hats off Fatty for the regular season, but your inflated record will not get you far in the A playoffs.

^^^

May 10, 2011
10:24 AM
; 
doing some serious hating today aren`t we. Who in the legaue is beating all these elite teams? everyone`s had some games against some C teams as well.

Wolves div record 15-21
Scavs div record 18-24
Lay div record 15-21
Truth div record 13-23

excluding the team that won the division. So you have no point beacause all the division are below .500

Good point

May 10, 2011
10:30 AM
; 
Very good point.The divisions were not competitive after the top 2-3 teams , so the records are deceiving.

Yep....

May 10, 2011
10:46 AM
; 
No you f`n circle jerk ring leader. I said they had a great year. I also said they have not played a very good team.

Bearcats - Horrible, C level.
TNT - B level team...not even close to an A level team.
Infamous - Horrible, C level.
Greenbacks - Horrible, C level.
Vegas Nights - B level when they actually have their normal team, but they haven`t had the normal Gilligan crew all year.
Collision - The only decent team they have faced. However, this team is beat up, and full of injuries, so the win comes with a *.

Bottom line, that division is by far, the softest of all the divisions.

Well the truth

May 10, 2011
10:47 AM
; 
is the truth over seasons past have barely won/loss against elite teams, their in a zone now so let`s see how they adapt

Furthermore

May 10, 2011
10:59 AM
; 
Lazy had the EASIEST division, as evidenced by a 2nd season "C" team making the "A" playoffs from that watered down excuse for competition. Clearly it is the Wolves then Scavengers and everyone else in this "A" bracket.

^ ^

May 10, 2011
11:28 AM
; 
Who`s the 2nd C team in that division making the playoffs? considering Outlaws and Lazy made A last Fall.

Outcast has gotten much better. Not that same team that went 2-5 last fall. Imposters are probably a more legit B team then a below average A team. But they aren`t a C team.

And weren`t the Pens winning most of the game against the Wolves?

Lazy played Scavs close last season. Wouldn`t count them or Truth out of winning the whole thing. Especially since Wolves and Scavs/Pens are on one side of the bracket.


Imposters

May 10, 2011
11:40 AM
; 
I think "Furthermore" was referring to us as the "2nd season" C team making the A playoffs. Meaning we have only been in the league 2 seasons.

^^^

May 10, 2011
1:30 PM
; 
THIS is what I was referring to. Good job this year Imposters!

Just Wondering

May 10, 2011
1:47 PM
; 
if the Imposters are going to do any damage in their bracket?

Doubt It

May 10, 2011
2:11 PM
; 
Isn`t Imposters normal qb hurt? If they couldnt beat Outcast with their normal qb, I can`t imagin them making much noise with a back up qb.

nothing against Imposters, but makin the jump to A playoffs and then not having your qb is gonna make it real difficult. Outcast beat them easily last time.

fan

May 10, 2011
2:41 PM
; 
They were playing Outcast on the weeknight when the QB got hurt.You really hate seeing that stuff happen and it hurts even more when it is your QB.

Sunday

May 10, 2011
3:14 PM
; 
So is Imposters QB out this week? Damn, that may change my picks!

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